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2024-12-13 11:36:18

Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened up 17.50 points, or 0.21%, at 8371.1 points on Thursday, December 12th.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.


GF Securities maintained the "Buy" rating of Giant Bio with a reasonable value of HK$ 55.72.Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended.On December 11th, the top 20 in US stock turnover: Tesla reached a new high, with Musk's net worth exceeding 400 billion US dollars. On Wednesday, Tesla, the first in US stock turnover, closed up 5.93%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 42.296 billion US dollars. The CEO of the company, Musk, became the first person in the world with a net worth of more than 400 billion US dollars, setting a new milestone for the richest man in the world. It is reported that the latest catalyst is SpaceX's internal stock sale transaction and Tesla's share price hit a new high, which increased Musk's net asset value by about 50 billion US dollars to 439.2 billion US dollars. (Global Market Broadcast)


The performance of deep thinking AI model exceeds the existing weather forecast. A study published in the new issue of Nature reported the latest machine learning model introduced by deep thinking. The model can make reliable probabilistic weather forecast according to current and future weather, and its performance not only exceeds the best traditional medium-range weather forecast, but also can better predict extreme weather, tropical cyclone route and wind energy production.Market News: Most members of the US House of Representatives support the $895 billion national defense policy bill, and voting continues.In recent years, the installed capacity of new energy generation in China has increased rapidly, and the demand for new energy storage and other regulatory resources has also increased. The energy storage development track is competing with each other, and the total output value of the industry will reach trillion level. In many new energy storage routes, lithium-ion batteries occupy more than 90% of the energy storage, and they are firmly in the first place; All-vanadium redox flow battery has high hopes because of its advantages of high safety, long life and expansibility, and has a good application prospect in the field of large-scale energy storage. This year, Sichuan Province issued the first national special policy to support the development of vanadium battery industry, Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province put forward the vision of building "China Vanadium Power Capital", and the demonstration project of all-vanadium liquid energy storage power station with commercial lease mode was launched here. In November, the project completed the bidding for the procurement of all-vanadium flow battery equipment, which has benchmarking significance for the integration and development of vanadium energy storage industry and financial services industry. (Securities Times)

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